The researchers employ confidential transaction-level data from a major US wine importer covering October 2018 through March 2022. These data include detailed purchase invoices from foreign suppliers and sales invoices to US distributors. The authors supplement this with Connecticut state price-posting data for distributor-to-retailer transactions and retail price data from e-commerce platform Wine-Searcher. They compare price changes for tariffed wines (still wines at or below 14 percent ABV) with price changes for a control group consisting of sparkling wines and still wines exceeding 14 percent ABV from producers selling only nontariffed products.
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The implicit promise of investing in future rounds can create a situation where they have some soft power, making it a bit harder to resist these things in the future. In fact, I actually am worried that getting the largest possible amounts of investment might be difficult without agreeing to some of these other things," Amodei writes. "But l think the right response to this is simply to see how much we can get without agreeing to these things (which I think are likely still many billions), and then hold firm if they ask.